The attention of the football world will once again shift back to domestic competitions this weekend and of course there is the small matter of the European quarter-finals in the Champions League and the Europa League to look forward to next week, but now that the international break is drawing to a close has there been any lessons learned for traders on the Football Index? In short, the answer is a resounding, yes. For this blog, I wanted to look at another of the favourites for the World Cup in Russia, the Samba Boys, Brazil.
The Brazilian manager Tite, was dealt a blow to his World Cup preparations when Index favourite Neymar (£11.55) injured his metatarsal playing for PSG a few weeks ago, but the two recent friendlies versus Germany and Russia, gave a real insight into what looks like the starting eleven for the World Cup. This was because the starting lineups were near identical for both fixtures, with only one change between the two matchups. Whilst most other teams took the opportunity of two fixtures to cast their eye over a wide number of players, this simply wasn’t the case for Tite, giving traders a real insight into the Brazilian team. So who are the players who have featured so heavily for Brazil and look to have booked their place on the plane and do they offer opportunities for traders?
Alisson (£1.01) – The Roma stopper is firmly lodged as the number one and is one of the safest picks for traders.
The back four was completely unchanged for the two fixtures and appeared to show who will be lining up against Switzerland on the 17th June.
Marcelo (£1.96) – The Real Madrid left-back is one of the best-known players in the world and his marauding runs down the left flank are appealing for traders in the upcoming Champions League quarter-finals, not just the World Cup. A really attractive option for Indexers.
Joao Miranda (£0.79) – The real surprise pick from Tite in the round of fixtures was the Inter Milan man taking his place alongside Thiago Silva, rather than Marquinhos (£1.01). His selection has seen him rise £0.20 in the last month alone and is still one of the cheapest options for traders in the Brazil squad.
Thiago Silva (£0.95) – The PSG man has been back in form in recent times, seeing his price rise by £0.22 in the last month and isn’t shy of a goal, another attractive option for traders.
Dani Alves (£1.93) – Could the World Cup be a swansong for the flying right back? Even as his career dwindles down he is a Match Day dividends magnet, could there be seven matches to come in Russia?
Paulinho (£1.49) – The Barcelona man featured in both fixtures and with an eye for a goal could be a differential option for traders.
Casemiro (£1.96) – The Real Madrid man has the enticing prospect of Champions League treble match day dividends along with the World Cup and this has seen him steadily rise by £0.27 in the last month,
Phillipe Coutinho (£3.22) – The former Liverpool man seems to have cemented his place in the squad and with the hype of his Barcelona move dwindling, is he now at a share price that is appealing?
Willian (£1.82) – The Chelsea man’s inclusion in Brazil squads has seen his price rocket by £0.50 in the last month alone, will he be £2.00 by the World Cup?
The only change from Tite in the fixtures was swapping Douglas Costa (£1.08) for Fernandinho (£0.99) in the Germany fixture and these two may well remain fringe players with Neymar (£11.55) surely slotting straight back into the starting 11.
Gabriel Jesus (£4.32) – The Brazilian attack had a consistent feel with the Manchester City man leading the line in both games, with Roberto Firmino (£2.79) a clear second choice, I think Jesus may have real growth in his share price before Russia, but he will, of course, be competing with Neymar for those elusive dividends.
Are Brazil your choice as World Cup winners?